Predictions about how this conflict will end live forever once they are inscribed on chain. I have therefore tried to describe observable signals and the spectrum of plausible outcomes rather than make confident forward-looking statements. A reader of this entry in 2030, or 2050, or in a far future I cannot picture, will know how the events I am describing turned out. I do not.
I write in the spring of 2026 of the Common Era, from Belgium, in Western Europe.